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Winter 2022 weather trends

It’s a winter-ful life here in the bay, but when we say winter is coming, it’s more like a couple of chilly days. ❄️

Tampa Convention Center

A boat drifts by the Tampa Convention Center and downtown Tampa’s growing skyline.

Photo by US Customs and Border Protection

We know the question on your mind, Tampanians — when’s it going to get cold again? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for December, January, and February. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what winter will bring.

Reminder: The first day of winter is on December 21.


NOAA’s seasonal temperature map

Map by NOAA

🌡️ Temperature

Think cool. This winter, Tampa Bay has a 40-50% chance of temperatures being higher than usual.

🌨️ Precipitation

Expect slightly less precipitation. Tampa Bay has a 40-50% chance of seeing below-average rainfall this winter.


Typically TBAY’s December temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 58° and an average high of 75°. December is usually the hottest month in Tampa Bay’s winter.


Tampa Bay’s lows in January are 53°F on average, with highs of 71°F. January is the coldest month overall for Tampa, and the 13-18 are its chilliest days. ❄️


Historically, average highs in our last winter month, February, hit 76° with an average low of 57°. February typically has not-to-cold, not-to-hot weather.

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