TBAYtoday City Guide Live Banner

Presented By  

Spring 2024 weather forecast for the Tampa Bay area

Prepare for spring weather in Tampa + the Burg with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

A Sunset on St. Pete Beach. The sky is orange and yellow, with a dark beach before it in the shadows.

Spring is on the horizon.

Photo by TBAYtoday

We know the question on your mind, TBAY residents — when’s it going to get warmer again? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our area for March, April, and May.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what spring will bring.

Reminder: The first day of spring is Tuesday, March 19.


This spring’s heat is projected to be about average — the Tampa Bay area has a 50-50% chance of temperatures being near normal. Sounds like an outdoor work opportunity.


But check the weather forecast before taking your laptop outside. TBAY has a 50-60% chance of seeing higher than average precipitation this spring. There’s still plenty of indoor fun on offer for the whole fam.


Drought conditions are expected to improve in parts of TBAY this season, notably in Pinellas County. Here’s a quick reminder — watering restrictions are still in place.

A map from NOAA on the seasonal temperature outlook for spring 2024. The whole country is pictured. Tampa Bay is expected to have a normal temperature range.

It looks like there’s a 50-50 chance of having normal temperatures this spring.


Tampa typically sees average highs of 77.8º in March, with lows averaging 59.3º. The month also has the third-lowest amount of rainfall on average each year, with just 2.52 inches. This year, March is expected to begin with cloudy days, before brighter skies arrive for the latter half.


The fourth month of the year is (almost) equally as dry, with 2.55 average inches of rainfall. Temperatures will start to climb, with highs of 83º joined by lows of 64.8º. A few thunderstorms could arrive toward the end of the month.


May’s average temperature of 79.5º is the last time the average typically drops below 80º until October, with highs of 88.3º and lows of 70.6º. It is typically the last month without considerable rainfall before the summer months.

City Guides are presented by Water Street Tampa.

Check out our other Guides
Dig into delicious and nutritious vegan and vegetarian fare in every corner of the Tampa Bay area.
The economic landscape of Tampa Bay, who’s hiring, and who’s most likely to expand investments into our community.
Explore these dog-friendly places in Tampa Bay that span from spots to eat, drink, shop, exercise, swim, and stay the night.
As Tampa Bay continues to grow, we’re keeping an eye on upcoming developments and recently opened businesses.
From lifting weights, indoor rock climbing, personal training, dance fitness, boxing classes, and martial arts programs — we’ve rounded up 35 gyms and fitness offerings in TBAY.
We’re highlighting the 30 best parks that Tampa Bay has to offer — complete with dog beaches, pickleball courts, and scenic views.
Check out our guide to the many meaningful murals you can find around our city.
This guide will help you give back to the Tampa Bay area, including outdoor spots, veteran assistance, and mental health aid.
We break down literary contributions by some of Tampa Bay authors past and present.
Tampa Bay, FL has centuries of history. In this guide, we’re diving into some of the area’s oldest streets and how they got their names.
TBAYtoday Phone
Good news for Tampa Bay.
Get the best local news & events sent to your inbox each morning, for free.