Hello, freezing weather... jk ❄️

Fall 2024 weather outlook for Tampa Bay

A small child standing in front of a pumpkin display.

There’s nothing quite like grabbing pumpkins in Hyde Park Village. | Photo via @hydeparkvillage

We know the question on your mind, Tampa Bay residents — when’s it going to get cool?

Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for September, October, and November. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what winter will bring.

Reminder: Fall started on Sunday, Sept. 22.

A screenshot of NOAA's fall weather prediction, covering the whole of the US. — Fall is officially here, TBAY.

🌡️ Temperature

We know how Florida weather is — it’s usually pretty warm. This fall will be no different. The Tampa Bay area has a 50-60% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

🌨️ Precipitation

Expect slightly more precipitation. The area has a 40-50% chance of seeing higher than average rainfall amounts this fall.

A screenshot of NOAA's fall rainfall prediction. — Keep those rain jackets handy.

September

This month marks the transition from summer to fall, but toastier temperatures may stick around. The September average for the Tampa Bay area is 83°, and the prediction for higher-than-normal temps this fall mean we probably won’t be bustin’ out the flannels quite yet.

October

Temperatures start to cool off a bit more in October, with the average low sitting around 69°. The average high for this month is 86°, but gentle breezes typically help us from getting too warm.

November

November is when we really start to see some cooler temps. Historically, highs are in the mid-70°s this month, and rainfall is much lower — plan for clear days that are perfect for throwing on a light jacket, grabbing a coffee, and taking a stroll.

City Guides are presented by Water Street Tampa.

The most wonderful time of year to get out and explore the city is…

A. Spring
B. Summer
C. Fall
D. Winter

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Wednesday, Nov. 9

Good ‘Burger Awards | Wednesday, Nov. 9 | 6 p.m. | Jannus Live, 200 First Ave. N., St. Petersburg | $40 | Now in its 10th year, the Good ‘Burger Awards will honor the best business, organization, or individual of St. Pete.
USF Volleyball vs. UCF | Wednesday, Nov. 9 | 7 p.m. | Yuengling Center, 4202 E. Fowler Ave., Tampa | Free |The UCF Knights take on their state rivals — our hometown heroes — the USF Bulls women’s volleyball team for a War on I-4 game.

Thursday, Nov. 10

Stroller Strides with FIT4MOM | Thursday, Nov. 10 | 10:30-11:30 a.m. | Armature Works, 1910 N. Ola Ave., Tampa | Free | This 60-minute class is a functional total-body conditioning workout designed for moms with kids in tow.

Friday, Nov. 11

Let’s F*ck’n Go Fridays | Friday, Nov. 11 | 6-9 p.m. | Where’s Jubes, 277 Central Ave., St. Petersburg | Free | The DTSP bar’s signature Zip Zip drink is on discount.
Reggae on the WTR | Friday, Nov. 11 | 5 p.m. | WTR, 7700 Courtney Campbell Causeway, Tampa | Free | Enjoy WTR dance club’s pool, bar, and lounge, with this week’s musical stylings from Tribal Style.

Saturday, Nov. 12

Brews & Blues: Concert & Beer Garden | Saturday, Nov. 12 | 5-10 p.m. | Armature Works, 1910 N. Ola Ave., Tampa | Ticket starts at $10 | Enjoy this new beer experience in the Heights District, with musical performances by Resident Barefoot, the Branson Belsh Band, and Kid Royal and the Holy Smokes.
Gasparilla Bowl Inshore Slam Fishing Tournament | Saturday, Nov. 12 | 8 a.m.-3 p.m. | Tampa Convention Center, 333 S. Franklin St., Tampa | $50 | This is a catch and release event focused on catching the largest snook, redfish, and trout.
Tampa Bay Fall RV Show | Saturday, Nov. 12-Sunday, Nov. 13 | 9 a.m.-5 p.m. | Florida State Fair, 4800 US Hwy. 301 North, Tampa | $5 | Stop by to roam three acres of cool new + unique RVs of all types, campgrounds, food, and fun.

Sunday, Nov. 13

Sage Wave Market | Sunday, Nov. 13 | 12-8 p.m. | Coastal Creative, 2201 1st Ave. S., St. Petersburg | $25 | Sage Wave is a fun, Sunday market featuring art and fashion shows.

We have a monthly guide filled with events + activities you can plan for in advance. Click the button below to bookmark ideas for upcoming date nights, family outings, and time with friends.

100+ MORE EVENTS

Weather

78º | Partly cloudy | 15% chance of rain
Severe Weather Alert — Tropical Storm Nicole is expected to strengthen and become a Cat. 1 hurricane as it approaches southeast Florida. As of the latest, it’s expected to reach our area Thurs. at around 1 p.m. (NOAA)

Sunrise + sunset

Rise: 6:47 a.m.
Set: 5:42 p.m.

Tide
Old Tampa Bay

High: 2:34 a.m. + 508 p.m.
Low: 10:14 a.m. + 8:59 p.m.

Clearwater Beach

High: 11:03 p.m.+ 12:33 p.m.
Low: 5:56 a.m. + 5:15 p.m.

Development

A developer plans to build a $200 million mixed-use project in downtown Tampa’s Encore-Tempo district (1101 E. Harrison St., Tampa). The project will include a 28-story luxury apartment building, a 178-key hotel, a 32,500 sqft. street-level retail space, and a 586-space parking podium. 🏗 (Tampa Bay Business Journal)

Travel

Frontier Airlines is giving away 500 free flights at Zydeco Brew Werks (1902 E. 7th Ave., Tampa) Thursday, Nov. 10, from 5:30 p.m. to 8:30 p.m. The first 100 attendees receive a free drink ticket. Frontier’s latest routes out of Tampa include San Juan, Puerto Rico; Montego Bay, Jamaica; and Cancun. ✈️ (That’s So Tampa)

Transit

All aboard. Brightline, a private rail company, plans to expand to the Cigar City after completing construction at the Orlando Airport next year. During testing, the trains hit speeds of up to 80 mph — aiming to get the modern locomotive up to 110 mph. 🚇 (Tampa Bay Business Journal)

Closed

The fast-casual, gourmet restaurant, Doormét in St. Pete has officially shuttered its DTSP doors. But, if you need your quick-fancy fix, the business is still fully operational on the other side of the bay, in South Tampa, servicing any St. Pete catering orders. ❌ (St. Pete Catalyst)

Edu

The University of Tampa just got a boost, thanks to the Morsani family. The couple gave an undisclosed amount to UT to build a new honors college named the Morsani Honors College. Plus, the donation — which is said to be the largest in the school’s history — will endow two scholarships. 🏫 (Tampa Bay Times)

Read

Writing + reading nerds rejoice. Late author Jack Kerouac’s home (5169 10th Ave. N, St. Petersburg) in historic Disston Heights reopened last week for a long-awaited porch party. Visitors noted that the house finally feels alive again with his aura. 📖 (Creative Loafing)

Family

It’s National Family Caregivers Month and Hillsborough County’s Adult Day Services is hosting a caregiver’s workshop to provide support and resources. It runs from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 12, at the Phyllis Busansky Day Center (4102 W. Spruce St., Tampa).

Wellness

Did you know? BetterHelp is the world’s largest online therapy platform. Getting started is easy: Take a quick quiz and get matched with a licensed therapist within 48 hours. Join over 3.5 million others and sign up today for 25% off (read: save up to $75). 📲 *

Fact or Fiction

Smoking weed can cause hair loss. Find out if this is Fact or Fiction.*

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So, Tampa Bay... who won?

2022 Midterm Election Results

Picture taken in St. Petersburg outside St Luke’s United Methodist polling location
| Photo by TBAYtoday

After a long season of fundraising, door-knocking, and advertising, the 2022 Midterm elections are over.

First things first, if elections are a source of stress for you, use this moment to take a deep breath in and out. 😮‍💨

This year, we cast votes to elect new officials across Florida + the Tampa Bay area— from Governor to Senate, House, and School Board — and on legislation that directly affects our community.

Now that your vote is cast, all that’s left is to watch the results roll in. At TBAYtoday, we want to make finding election results as easy as possible. Here are some of our favorite, unbiased resources to help you understand what just happened:

🗳 AP News: Live Election Results
🗳️ Florida Department of State’s Election Watch

THE WRAP

Today’s issue was written by Brad.

Editor’s pick: Hey peeps, please say thank you to those who put others’ needs before their own this National Caretakers Month.

P.S. I love a Tampa Bay winter, but there’s nothing like a sandy Christmas in Aruba or a white one in my home state of NJ.

Missed yesterday’s newsletter? We gave all you foodies a heads-up on the new unique eateries coming to town here.

Connect with us.

Editorial: Brad Haft, Bailey LeFever, Jessalin Heins-Nagamoto, Kaylee Holland, Ashlea Hearn, Emily Shea | Send us a scoop, question, or feedback.

Sales: Kailey Burke | Advertise with us.

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