2024-2025 winter weather trends for Tampa Bay

Prepare for winter weather in Hillsborough and Pinellas with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

riverwalk.png

‘Tis the season for temperate Riverwalk strolls.

Now that we’ve finally kicked another hurricane season to the curb, what’s in store for winter?

Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our area for December, January, and February. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for winter.

Reminder: The official first day of winter is on Saturday, Dec. 21.

Temperature

Think warmer than we’re used to. This winter, Tampa Bay has a 50-60% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

Screenshot 2025-12-02 at 12.56.47 PM.png

The temps are likely to linger slightly higher than normal in TBAY this season.

Image via NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center

Precipitation

Our area is predicted to experience below average precipitation this season.

Drought

We’re keeping close watch on the drought across the state. In early December, TBAY officials rolled out new water use guidelines due to an abnormally dry year — we’re facing a 13-inch rain deficit this year, according to the Southwest Florida Water Management. You can keep an eye on drought conditions via NOOA, too.

Here’s December’s deal

The average low temperature in December is 58.1° and the average high is 72°. December is the coldest month of the year in TBAY (though that doesn’t mean much), but it’s also one of the most temperate months along the Gulf Coast.

Jump into January

Tampa’s highs in January will dip down to 67.8° on average with an average low of 53.4°F. Expect those customary bright blue, sunny winter days, but don’t expect to swim. The Gulf’s temp also drops down to a chilly 64.8°.

Prepare for frigid February

February is when TBAY starts defrosting and the winds pick up. The lows stay around 56.7°, with an average high temperature of 71.8°.

City Guides are presented by Water Street Tampa.

More from TBAYtoday
We rounded up six locally approved matcha picks so you can get your green fix.
We wrap up some of our favorite waterfront parks, local businesses, bakeries, and other faves across Tampa and St. Pete
Some of country music’s biggest and rising stars play the 2026 festival right on St. Pete Beach.
A grassroots effort is helping Tampa Bay region properties become part of a nationwide habitat network.
We’re digging in the Cigar City Brewing IPA’s roots, inspiration, and popularity across the United States.
Hi TBAY residents. It’s that time of year again — Spotify Wrapped is out, and so is ours. Ready to see how our year stacked up?
Take part in the magical tradition along Florida’s Gulf Coast from the Riverwalk to Madeira Beach.
The 16th annual edition of Small Business Saturday falls on November 29 — the perfect time to help you add a local sparkle into your holiday shopping.
There’s ample Tampa Bay waterways, and we break down some of best ways to explore them.
Take a look at the latest Broadway shows, live shows, comedy, and orchestra performances coming to the Tampa venue over the next several months.