2024-2025 winter weather trends for Tampa Bay

Prepare for winter weather in Hillsborough and Pinellas with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

riverwalk.png

‘Tis the season for temperate Riverwalk strolls.

Now that we’ve finally kicked another hurricane season to the curb, what’s in store for winter?

Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our area for December, January, and February. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for winter.

Reminder: The official first day of winter is on Saturday, Dec. 21.

Temperature

Think warmer than we’re used to. This winter, Tampa Bay has a 50-60% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

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The temps are likely to linger slightly higher than normal in TBAY this season.

Image via NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center

Precipitation

Our area is predicted to experience below average precipitation this season.

Drought

We’re keeping close watch on the drought across the state. In early December, TBAY officials rolled out new water use guidelines due to an abnormally dry year — we’re facing a 13-inch rain deficit this year, according to the Southwest Florida Water Management. You can keep an eye on drought conditions via NOOA, too.

Here’s December’s deal

The average low temperature in December is 58.1° and the average high is 72°. December is the coldest month of the year in TBAY (though that doesn’t mean much), but it’s also one of the most temperate months along the Gulf Coast.

Jump into January

Tampa’s highs in January will dip down to 67.8° on average with an average low of 53.4°F. Expect those customary bright blue, sunny winter days, but don’t expect to swim. The Gulf’s temp also drops down to a chilly 64.8°.

Prepare for frigid February

February is when TBAY starts defrosting and the winds pick up. The lows stay around 56.7°, with an average high temperature of 71.8°.

City Guides are presented by Water Street Tampa.

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